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Africa · Chokepoint assessment

Somali Basin

Threat: SubstantialTrend: RisingConfidence: Moderate

Pirate action groups have operated several hundred miles off the Somali coast since the MV Ruen and MV Abdullah hijacks. Activity follows the monsoon calendar.

Indian Ocean route between the Gulf of Aden, Kenya and the Cape.

Main threats

  • Hijack for ransom
  • Boarding of fishing vessels and dhows as mother ships

What this means for shipping

  • Keep well offshore and report to MSCHOA
  • Coastal humanitarian shipping to Mogadishu and Kismayo remains exposed

What to watch

  • Mother-ship sightings
  • Al-Shabaab links to coastal networks
  • Puntland Maritime Police Force operations

Recent major incidents nearby

  • Hellas Aphrodite — Piracy / boarding

    6 Nov 2025 · Somali Basin

    Tanker boarded by Somali pirates far offshore; crew in citadel until naval forces arrived. EU NAVFOR Atalanta

  • MV Abdullah — Hijack

    12 Mar 2024 · Somali Basin

    Bangladeshi bulk carrier hijacked by Somali pirates; released after ransom in April. IMB Piracy Reporting Centre

Ports on this route

  • Mogadishu, Somalia Severe

    Al-Shabaab mortar and suicide attacks around the port and airport zone.

  • Kismayo, Somalia Severe

    Jubaland-controlled; Al-Shabaab holds much of the hinterland.

  • Mombasa, Kenya Moderate

    East Africa's largest port; congestion more than security drives delay.

  • Lamu, Kenya Substantial

    Near the Boni Forest where Al-Shabaab operates.

  • Eyl, Somalia (Puntland) Severe

    Historic pirate base on the Indian Ocean coast.

  • Hobyo, Somalia Severe

    Pirate networks used the anchorage during 2024 hijacks.

  • Garacad, Somalia (Puntland) Severe

    Coastal town linked to pirate groups.

  • Barawe, Somalia Severe

    Former Al-Shabaab stronghold; contested hinterland.

  • Port Victoria, Seychelles Low

    Base for counter-piracy patrols and fishing fleets.

Sources

Threat level is an Mazin Intel analytical judgement from public sources, not a live feed or official rating.

For shipowners, insurers and risk teams

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