Collection backbone

Africa Intelligence Source Registry

Nothing on this platform comes from an unnamed feed. This is the register of what we collect from, what each source is genuinely good for, how reliable we hold the publisher to be, and how often we pull from it. Tier 1 is the backbone — when those sources are silent on a question, we report the gap rather than substituting weaker material.

20
Registered sources
8
Tier 1 essential
13
Grade A publishers
54
Countries in scope

Tier 1 — Essential Africa OSINT

The backbone. Every country assessment, journey brief and situation-room layer draws on these first, and each is named in the record it informs.

Tier 1 — Essential Africa OSINT
SourceBest forPriorityLayerReliabilityCollection
ACLEDAll 54 African states, event-levelPolitical violence, protests and conflict events, geolocated to admin levelL1Conflict & armed groupsADaily
UN OCHA / HDXContinental, with admin boundaries and 3W operational dataHumanitarian, population, displacement and operational datasetsL2Early warning & emergenciesADaily
ReliefWebCountry and crisis pages for every African emergencyHumanitarian reports, situation updates and emergency declarationsL2Early warning & emergenciesAContinuous
Insecurity InsightAid-in-danger and health-care attack reporting across AfricaViolence affecting health care, aid workers and civiliansL1Conflict & armed groupsAWeekly
UN agenciesDisplacement tracking, food security and health surveillanceCountry security and humanitarian information — UNHCR, IOM DTM, WFP, WHO, UNDSS advisoriesL2Early warning & emergenciesADaily to weekly by agency
Named feeds pulled
Government sourcesNational gazettes, electoral commissions, aviation and port noticesRegulations, elections, curfews, closures and official security announcementsL5Strategic & political riskAAs published
Named feeds pulled
Local African mediaNational and regional outlets in all five working languagesEarly indicators and local developments in English, French, Arabic, Swahili and SomaliL1Conflict & armed groupsBContinuous
Named feeds pulled
Satellite & geospatial dataCopernicus Sentinel, NASA FIRMS fire detections, USGS hazardsInfrastructure, displacement, environmental and conflict indicatorsL3GEOINT & remote sensingADaily passes
Named feeds pulled

Tier 2 — Corroboration & context

Used to confirm, date or contextualise a Tier 1 signal. Strong on pattern and background, weaker on single-incident precision.

Tier 2 — Corroboration & context
SourceBest forPriorityLayerReliabilityCollection
UCDP Georeferenced Event DatasetAfrica-wide since 1989Long-run organised-violence baselines used to judge whether current tempo is unusualL1Conflict & armed groupsAAnnual, with candidate monthly files
GDACSGlobal, filtered to African exposureAutomated disaster alerts — flood, cyclone, drought, earthquakeL2Early warning & emergenciesBContinuous
FEWS NETHorn, Sahel, Great Lakes and Southern AfricaFood-security phase outlooks that precede displacement and access lossL2Early warning & emergenciesAMonthly and quarterly
GDELTGlobal media, language-filtered to AfricaMedia volume and tone shifts used as a tripwire, never as a factL5Strategic & political riskC15 minutes
OpenSanctionsConsolidated global lists with African entity coverageSanctions, PEP and enforcement screening for due diligenceL5Strategic & political riskADaily
IMB & maritime noticesGulf of Aden, Somali basin, Gulf of Guinea, Mozambique ChannelPiracy, armed robbery at sea and port advisoriesL1Conflict & armed groupsAWeekly
CISA / AlienVault OTX / URLhausGlobal indicators, triaged for sector relevanceThreat indicators and advisories relevant to NGO networks and donor systemsL4CybersecurityBContinuous
Research institutesRegional and thematic analysisStructural drivers and political-economy background — ISS Africa, Crisis Group, Chatham HouseL5Strategic & political riskAAs published

Tier 3 — Verification tradecraft

Techniques rather than feeds. Applied before a contested image, claim or location is allowed to influence a rating.

Tier 3 — Verification tradecraft
SourceBest forPriorityLayerReliabilityCollection
Reverse image searchApplied to all user-submitted and social imageryDetecting recycled or mislabelled imagery before it is citedL6VerificationBPer claim
Chronolocation & shadow analysisUsed on contested incident footageTesting whether footage was taken when a source claimsL6VerificationBPer claim
Satellite corroborationSentinel-2 and FIRMS overlays on reported coordinatesConfirming reported burning, flooding or structural damage independentlyL6VerificationAPer claim, subject to pass timing
Practitioner networkHorn, East Africa, Sahel, Great Lakes, coastal West AfricaGround detail automation cannot see — access, checkpoint behaviour, local sentimentL6VerificationBOn request

Reading the reliability grades

Grades follow the NATO admiralty convention and describe the publisher, never an individual claim. Credibility of a specific report remains an analyst judgement recorded alongside the record.

Grade A
Completely reliable — institutional record, methodology published
Grade B
Usually reliable — sound record, occasional correction needed
Grade C
Fairly reliable — useful signal, requires corroboration
Grade D
Not always reliable — treated as a lead only

From public information to reviewed assessment

01

Collect

Capture a dated public record and preserve its original publisher and link.

02

Verify

Test source identity, location, time and internal consistency before reuse.

03

Corroborate

Compare the claim with an independent source, dataset or official notice.

04

GEOINT

Use maps, imagery or remote-sensing evidence where it can test the claim.

05

Analyse

Separate facts from assumptions and identify patterns, actors and exposure.

06

Assess

Set an evidence label, confidence level and a bounded analytical judgement.

07

Identify indicators

State what would strengthen, weaken or overturn the assessment.

08

Review

Revisit the judgement against subsequent evidence and record limitations.

Regional reporting layer

East Africa and Horn publishers

Regional outlets are where most Horn and East Africa incidents surface first, and where the desk does most of its verification work. A single regional report is a lead, not a finding: it is held as reported until a second independent source, a dataset entry or a remote-sensing signal supports it. Where an outlet reports under access or political constraint, that is recorded as a limit on the evidence rather than treated as silence.

PublisherCountry / languageBest useCautionReliability
Hiiraan OnlineSomalia
Somali, English
Aggregated Somali political and security reporting, including outlets without English editionsAn aggregator: trace each item to the originating outlet before citing it.C
Garowe OnlineSomalia (Puntland)
Somali, English
Puntland administration, federal-state disputes and north-eastern security incidentsRegional editorial position on federal disputes; balance against Mogadishu-based outlets.C
Radio DalsanSomalia
Somali, English
Mogadishu and Banadir incident reporting, security-force statements, parliamentary politicsFast on incidents, with casualty figures that often move over the following day.C
Somaliland StandardSomaliland
English
Hargeisa politics, Somaliland–Puntland border friction, Berbera corridor developmentsWrites from a Somaliland statehood perspective; terminology is politically loaded either way.C
Addis StandardEthiopia
English, Amharic
Regional-state politics, conflict in Amhara and Oromia, federal security operationsOperates under real reporting constraints; absence of coverage may reflect access, not calm.B
Ethiopia InsightEthiopia
English
Longer-form analysis of federalism, ethnic politics and the drivers behind incidentsAnalysis rather than incident reporting; useful for causation, not for dating events.B
Sudan TribuneSudan, South Sudan
English, Arabic
Sudanese and South Sudanese political and military developments, agreements and talksRelies on party and military statements; separate claim from confirmed event.B
Radio DabangaSudan
English, Arabic
Darfur and Kordofan incidents, displacement and civilian protection reportingOften the only outlet on a locality; single-source items should be graded as such.B
Eye RadioSouth Sudan
English
Juba politics, state-level violence, road ambush and cattle-related conflict reportingCoverage is thinner outside state capitals; rural quiet is frequently unobserved.C
The EastAfricanKenya, Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda
English
Regional politics, EAC dynamics, cross-border trade and security cooperationWeekly rhythm: strong on pattern, slow on incidents.B
Daily NationKenya
English, Swahili
Kenyan security operations, north-eastern and coastal incidents, protest policingIncident detail is strongest in urban centres and along the Nairobi–Mombasa axis.B
The CitizenTanzania
English, Swahili
Tanzanian politics, Cabo Delgado spillover into the south, port and corridor developmentsSensitive security subjects are reported cautiously; read alongside regional outlets.B
The ObserverUganda
English
Ugandan politics, ADF-related incidents and security-force conductPolitical coverage carries a clear editorial line; corroborate incident claims.C
Somali DispatchSomalia
English
Rapid English-language notice of Somali incidents for onward verificationSpeed over confirmation: treat as a lead requiring a second source.D

Questions we get about the registry

Which sources form the Tier 1 backbone?

ACLED for political violence and protest events, UN OCHA/HDX for humanitarian and displacement datasets, ReliefWeb for situation reports and emergency declarations, Insecurity Insight for violence affecting aid and health care, UN agency portals (UNHCR, IOM DTM, WFP, WHO), official government and regulator notices, local African media in English, French, Arabic, Swahili and Somali, and satellite or geospatial data from Copernicus, NASA FIRMS and USGS.

What do the reliability grades mean?

Grades follow the NATO admiralty convention and describe the publisher, not the individual claim. A is completely reliable with a published methodology, B usually reliable, C fairly reliable and needing corroboration, D a lead only. Credibility of any single claim stays an analyst judgement.

What happens when Tier 1 sources are silent on a question?

We report the evidence gap rather than substituting weaker material. Tier 2 can date or contextualise a signal, and Tier 3 verification tradecraft is applied before contested imagery or locations influence a rating, but no record is published without a named analyst setting confidence.

Source names and datasets belong to their publishers and are cited for attribution. We hold no affiliation with, or endorsement from, the organisations listed here.

For shipowners, insurers and risk teams

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