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Africa · Chokepoint assessment

Strait of Gibraltar and North African coast

Threat: LowTrend: StableConfidence: Moderate

A busy, well-policed strait. The main issues are migrant crossings, drug smuggling and instability around Libyan ports.

Atlantic–Mediterranean traffic, Tanger Med transhipment and Maghreb coastal ports.

Main threats

  • Migrant boats and rescue obligations
  • Drug smuggling
  • Armed-group control of Libyan port areas

What this means for shipping

  • Brief crews on rescue-at-sea duties
  • Assess Libyan port calls one by one

What to watch

  • Libyan political clashes
  • Central Mediterranean migration flows

Ports on this route

  • Banjul, Gambia Low

    Small river-mouth port.

  • Dakar, Senegal Moderate

    Atlantic gateway; departure area for migrant boats to the Canaries.

  • Nouakchott, Mauritania Moderate

    Migrant departures toward the Canary Islands.

  • Praia, Cabo Verde Low

    Island port on Atlantic drug routes.

  • Tanger Med, Morocco Low

    Africa's largest container port at the Strait of Gibraltar.

  • Casablanca, Morocco Low

    Morocco's main commercial port.

  • Algiers, Algeria Low

    Main Algerian port; strict state controls.

  • Tunis / Radès, Tunisia Moderate

    Main Tunisian container port.

  • Sfax, Tunisia Substantial

    Main departure area for migrant boats to Italy.

  • Tripoli, Libya Severe

    Armed-group clashes in the capital can close the port.

  • Misrata, Libya Substantial

    Free-zone port controlled by local forces.

Sources

Threat level is an Mazin Intel analytical judgement from public sources, not a live feed or official rating.

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