Ethiopia security & risk intelligence

Threat

3

Political

2

Terrorism

0

Conflict

16

Maritime

1

Sub-regional & location breakdown

Derived from published records only — sub-regions and locations appear when reporting exists.

Threat profile

• Moderate14
• High7
• Critical1

Latest Ethiopia records

• ModerateLow confidence8 Oct 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia launches drone strikes on Eritrean forces in Tigray

  Addis Ababa and Asmara edge closer to open conflict as overnight bombardment near Adigrat hits military convoys and shatter a fragile regional order.

  The Africa Report
• ModerateLow confidence28 Sept 2026

  Drone strike hits Tigray TV station as fighting escalates in northern Ethiopia

  Drone strike hits Tigray TV station as fighting escalates in northern Ethiopia. Reported by albawaba.net and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · albawaba.net
• HighLow confidence26 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Escalating Fights in Northern Ethiopia Risk Severe Human Rights Violations: EHRC

  Rights Body Urges International Community to Pressure Warring Parties to Negotiation Table The Ethiopian Human Rights Commission (EHRC) warned that flared armed fighting across northern Ethiopia poses severe and compounding risks to human rights. In an official public statement on Friday September 23, 2026, the national rights body confirmed that active armed clashes have erupted […]

  The Reporter Ethiopia
• HighLow confidence26 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopian Airlines Staffs Stranded in Tigray Following Flight Suspensions to Three Regional Airports

  Personnel of the Ethiopian Airlines Group stationed in Tigray remain in the region following the suspension of flights to Mekelle, Axum, and Shire airports, with the flag carrier yet to initiate formal evacuation arrangements, a senior official disclosed to The Reporter. The national carrier halted operations to the three regional airports starting on Wednesday, September […]

  The Reporter Ethiopia
• HighLow confidence24 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia and Tigray accuse each of launching offensives, fuelling fears of new war

  The local authorities reportedly seize Tigray's airports following reports of recent drone strikes.

  BBC News Africa
• HighLow confidence24 Sept 2026

  Tigray Offensive in Ethiopia : Airports Seized

  Tigray Offensive in Ethiopia : Airports Seized. Reported by riotimesonline.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · riotimesonline.com
• ModerateLow confidence23 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Can Ethiopia’s seven-group rebel alliance challenge Abiy Ahmed?

  The alliance brings together movements with different enemies, claims and histories as tensions with Abiy rise.

  Al Jazeera (Africa desk)
• ModerateLow confidence23 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Is Ethiopia heading back to civil war?

  Tigrayan forces in Ethiopia have seized Mekelle airport just days after former battlefield enemies joined forces against President Abiy Ahmed’s government. With the Pretoria peace deal unravelling and fighting already raging in Amhara and Oromia, the warning signs of another major conflict are mounting.

  The Africa Report
• ModerateLow confidence23 Sept 2026

  Tigray rebels seize airport and clash with federal forces as fighting in Ethiopia reignites

  Tigray rebels seize airport and clash with federal forces as fighting in Ethiopia reignites. Reported by euronews.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · euronews.com
• CriticalLow confidence23 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  5 questions to understand the removal of US sanctions on Eritrea

  Trump has allowed the northern Ethiopia state of emergency to expire, which included sanctions on Eritrea, just as the conflict is heating up once again.

  The Africa Report
• HighLow confidence23 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  Tigray forces launch offensive against Ethiopian government

  Tigray People’s Liberation Front seizes control of airports, targets government positions in Afar and Amhara regions.

  Al Jazeera (Africa desk)
• HighLow confidence18 Sept 2026· Ethiopia

  News24 | Ethiopia: 14 killed, 10 abducted as kidnappings surge across the country

  At least 14 people were killed and 10 others abducted by an armed group in central Ethiopia earlier this week, an NGO that tracks armed conflicts and a witness told AFP on Friday.

  News24 (South Africa)
• ModerateLow confidence28 Aug 2026

  Ethiopia : World Bank - Supported School ICT Center Destroyed in Latest Drone Strike in Tigray

  Ethiopia : World Bank - Supported School ICT Center Destroyed in Latest Drone Strike in Tigray. Reported by allafrica.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · allafrica.com
• ModerateLow confidence23 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia: Tigrayan women celebrate Ashenda amid fears of new war

  In Addis Ababa, Tigrayan women gather to celebrate Ashenda, while expressing hopes for lasting peace in Ethiopia's Tigray region, where recent drone strikes on the regional capital Mekella have renewed fears of conflict after the devastating 2020-2022 war

  Africanews
• ModerateLow confidence21 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia's Virgin Mary festival in Tigray cancelled over drone strike fears

  The focal point of Ashenda festival, which traditionally draws thousands of young women dressed in their finery, was to be a mass gathering at a stadium in Mekelle on Saturday.

  Nile Post (Uganda)
• ModerateLow confidence21 Aug 2026

  Ethiopia Virgin Mary festival in Tigray cancelled over drone strike fears

  Ethiopia Virgin Mary festival in Tigray cancelled over drone strike fears. Reported by yahoo.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · yahoo.com
• ModerateLow confidence21 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia's Virgin Mary festival in Tigray cancelled over drone strike fears

  An eagerly anticipated gathering of women will not be taking place following recent aerial strikes.

  BBC News Africa
• ModerateLow confidence21 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Drone strike wounds 13 in Tigray capital as fears of renewed war grow

  A drone strike on Mekelle, the capital of Ethiopia’s Tigray region, injured at least 13 people, including five children, a hospital official said Thursday. The attack comes amid growing tensions between federal and Tigrayan forces and fears the region could slide back into war.

  Africanews
• ModerateLow confidence21 Aug 2026

  Ethiopia : Drone Strikes in Two Locations in Mekelle , 13 Casualties Received At Ayder Hospital

  Ethiopia : Drone Strikes in Two Locations in Mekelle , 13 Casualties Received At Ayder Hospital. Reported by allafrica.com and surfaced through GDELT global news monitoring.

  GDELT · allafrica.com
• ModerateLow confidence19 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Sudan: 200,000 newly displaced as fighting and floods intensify, closure of Red Sea and Strait of Hormuz threatens critical aid

  Sudan International Organization for Migration Geneva/Khartoum, 19 August 2026 – Sudan is facing mounting displacement and humanitarian pressures as escalating conflict and destructive seasonal flooding compound an already grave humanitarian situation, even as significant numbers of people return to Khartoum. Humanitarian access is further disrupted by delays in global supply chains, particularly through th

  ReliefWeb
• ModerateLow confidence18 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia: Authorities in Tigray accuse Addis Ababa of drone strike near Mekelle

  Authorities in Ethiopia's Tigray region have accused the federal government of launching a drone strike near the state capital Mekelle. Tensions between Tigray and Addis Ababa have been mounting in recent weeks, with both parties massing forces on either side of the regional border.

  Africanews
• HighLow confidence11 Aug 2026· Ethiopia

  Ethiopia drone strike in north kills three, Tigray sources say

  The sources say a school, on a holiday break, was hit but the federal government has not commented.

  BBC News Africa

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