May 5, 2026UpdateHigh
IDP returns pause pending security review
IOM pauses 6,400 planned voluntary returns to Mocímboa da Praia; provincial authorities cite intelligence indicators.
All threats
HighMonitoring·Insurgency / Energy Security
Cabo Delgado insurgency & LNG operations posture
Ansar al-Sunna (ASWJ) activity resurges around the Afungi peninsula as SAMIM drawdown continues and TotalEnergies reviews the timeline for LNG project restart.
Region
Southern Africa
Mozambique, Tanzania
Opened
Jul 12, 2025
Last update May 5, 2026
Partners engaged
SAMIM (residual) · Rwandan Defence Force · TotalEnergies · EU Training Mission
Events tracked
5
1 milestones · 2 updates · 1 partner · 1 advisories
Replay events
5 / 5 events·UpdateMay 5, 2026IDP returns pause pending security review
Filter events
- Mar 4, 2026Analyst advisory
ADVISORY: Contractor movement between Pemba and Palma
Mazin Intel recommends convoy-only overland travel and 48-hour advance route clearance for all contractor movements.
- Jan 17, 2026Partner activity·TotalEnergies
TotalEnergies re-scopes LNG restart timeline
Force majeure conditions revisited; independent security assessment commissioned ahead of Q3 board decision.
- Nov 8, 2025UpdateHigh
ASWJ attacks resume in Macomia
Three coordinated raids in 10 days on villages 40 km from Afungi. Two fatalities among FADM personnel.
- Jul 12, 2025MilestoneModerate
SAMIM drawdown completed
SADC mission formally ends; Rwandan contingent and FADM assume primary security responsibility for northern districts.